Friday, May 16, 2008

Steel costs starting to pinch U.S. companies

CHICAGO (Reuters) - U.S. manufacturers, which had shrugged off the domestic economic downturn and reported consistently strong profits thanks to overseas demand, are starting to look vulnerable as the price of key materials like steel continue to rise.

Global steel prices are up 40 percent since the beginning of the year and the pressure is showing up in a number of top U.S. companies' results, including construction and mining equipment maker Caterpillar Inc

Full story at Reuters

 

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Thursday, May 15, 2008

ArcelorMittal predicts buoyant year for steel

ArcelorMittal has come out with an upbeat projection for the steel industry for the rest of the year, after reporting a 5.4 per cent rise in net income in the first quarter.

Lakshmi Mittal, chief executive of ArcelorMittal, the world's biggest steelmaker, said: "I am confident the steel industry will this year largely avoid the economic downturn that is affecting other areas of the global economy. Overall, the steel industry will have a good year in 2008."

Mr Mittal, who yesterday took on the additional role of ArcelorMittal chairman after the retirement of Joseph Kinsch, is also the biggest shareholder with a stake of 45 per cent.

His comments come in spite of concerns by some large industrial companies, led by Siemens, the German electrical engineering group, that the credit problems affecting sectors such as banking and housing in some regions are beginning to have an impact on areas such as manufacturing.

Mr Mittal, explaining his remarks that steel looks like avoiding the worst of problems that are showing an impact in other areas, said that weak demand in some parts of the steel industry was being more than balanced by an upturn in requirements elsewhere.

"In terms of geographical areas, the Middle East, Eastern Europe, Russia, Latin America and China are still doing well," Mr Mittal said.

"Even in the US, there is relatively strong demand for steel. While the automotive market is slow, we are seeing good demand in other sectors, such as engineering products and home appliances."

The steel industry was being affected by some signs of economic weakness, in specific sectors, he said. "In western Europe, the housing sector is slowing, and demand is soft in southern Europe in particular."

Full story ft.com

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Nucor considering new steel plant in La.

Continuing a string of deals and expansions announced this week, Charlotte-based Nucor Corp. said Thursday that it's looking to build a new $2 billion steel plant in Louisiana.

The plant, which would be located in St. James Parish, La., 30 miles west of New Orleans, would create about 2,600 jobs and be a state-of-the-art iron-making facility, Nucor said. The plant would be the first new pig iron plant built in the U.S. in the last 30 years. Pig iron is a raw material used to make steel.

Nucor cautioned in a news release that the plant is not a done deal. It said it is still considering other sites outside the U.S. and that the Louisiana project depends on receiving permits from state officials and on a final decision by Nucor's board of directors.

Company officials were unavailable for comment.

This week, Nucor also announced two joint ventures with foreign steel companies that will expand the company's reach into Europe, North Africa and the Mediterranean region.

Despite a slowing U.S. economy, the steel industry is booming because of a thriving overseas construction market that needs steel.

Nucor is the largest U.S. steelmaker by volume.

Charlotte Business | Charlotte Observer

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Rautaruukki says hot-rolling disruption continues.

Rautaruukki Oyj said ongoing strike action by around 200 workers at its Raahe steel plant is disrupting hot-rolling production at the site.

Sakari Kallo, Rautaruukki production manager, told Thomson Financial News that the company has been informed that staff will return to their posts on Friday morning.

Around 800 people at Raahe had staged a 24-hour strike earlier this week in a dispute over pay. Raahe Works in all employs around 2,100 people.

The company said it plans to publish details of the financial impact of the action later.

Forbes

 

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More steel price increases!

We reported yesterday that ArcelorMittal had announced a price increase of around 20%. We are now hearing "unofficially" that Corus are set to announce a further price increase on steel strip of between £150 and £205 per tonne for the third quarter.

It seems inevitable that the last large European player will "follow" suit. Expect an announcement soon from ThyssenKrupp, which we believe will be in the region of £150.

Toyota agrees 30%-plus steel price hike

Toyota Motor Corp has agreed to pay Nippon Steel Corp and other top Japanese steelmakers over 30 percent more for sheet steel, the Asahi Shimbun daily reported, triggering a rally in steel stocks.

Such a price hike, which is in line with brokerages' estimates, would boost the prospects that Nippon Steel, the world's second-biggest steelmaker, will raise its earnings outlook for the current business year.

Japanese steelmakers have been hit by soaring costs of raw materials, with Nippon Steel forecasting a 34 percent drop in pretax profit for the year ending in March 2009.

The Asahi reported on Thursday that Toyota has agreed to a price increase of more than 25,000 yen ($238) per tonne for sheet steel this business year, allowing steelmakers to pass on most of the recent cost increases.

Nippon Steel and Toyota both declined to comment on the report.

For many years the motor manufacturers have insisted upon and largely gained, year on year "cost down" reductions from steel and component manufacturers. How the world is changing!

Full Story- Reuters

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Wednesday, May 14, 2008

ArcelorMittal hikes steel product prices.

In view of profits rising by a mere 16% in the first quarter of this year ArcelorMittal have acted quickly to ensure better results for the second half of the year!

ArcelorMittal said it is raising prices on flat carbon steel products for new orders with scheduled deliveries in July and August, and that it is taking 'all available steps' to avoid supply disruptions to customers.

The price rise brings the base level for hot band steel to 720 euros per tonne. Cold rolled and coated flat product prices will rise accordingly.

ArcelorMittal cited a significant rise in its raw material costs, including coking coal, that has been exacerbated by a sharp rise in scrap prices.

It did not elaborate on specific threats to customer supplies other than indicating that its own cost increases could be one. Company spokespeople could not be immediately reached to comment.

Link to forbes

Rising demand boosts European steel giants

Europe's two leading steel groups today shrugged off the impact of soaring commodity prices and the west's economic slowdown, with ArcelorMittal posting a 16% leap in first-quarter pre-tax profits to $5bn (£2.57bn) and ThyssenKrupp a jump from €572m (£453m) to €742m.

ArcelorMittal, the world's biggest steelmaker, said it was benefiting from a "healthy pricing benefit" as it announced further carbon steel price rises of around 20% in July on the back of a 7% jump in February.

The Luxembourg-based group said shipments rose 8% compared with a year ago to 29.2m tonnes, with revenues up 22% - in dollar terms - to $29.8bn. It said it had already achieved the promised $1.6bn in synergies from the hotly contested merger between Arcelor and Mittal.

Lakshmi Mittal, chief executive and newly elected chairman, said: "Despite global economic uncertainties, we are continuing to see strong demand for steel and a healthy pricing dynamic.

"This global demand is supported by the continued industrialisation of a number of key, emerging economies and ArcelorMittal is well positioned to continue to take advantage of these dynamics."

He said pre-tax profits in the second quarter would exceed $6.5bn. Ekkehard Schulz, ThyssenKrupp chief executive, meanwhile, forecast annual pre-tax profits of more than €3bn on sales of €53bn.

I am not so sure what the price increases will be doing to the profitability of their customers in Europe

Guardian UK

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Tuesday, May 13, 2008

In hard times, steel firms forge ahead

An interesting article here by David Greising, correspondent for the Chicago Tribune.

The economy is struggling. The auto industry is on its back. Housing starts are at historic lows.
If it seems there is no relief in sight from the bad economic data, just take a look along the southern shore of Lake Michigan. From East Chicago to Gary, in the heart of the old Midwestern steel belt, a fragile boomlet is taking shape.
The U.S. steel industry, which has spent much of the decade trying to keep its head above water, is swimming upstream against a tide of worrisome economic data. The steel mills are hiring. And they're humming at nearly 90 percent of capacity, a pace they have rarely seen since the late 1970s.
They are also raising prices—as much as 50 percent since the beginning of the year in some product categories. And a jump in hiring, of 2 percent so far this year, reverses a yearslong trend of 4 percent annual employment declines.

"It's not glory times for the steel industry, but it's a big improvement from what it's been," said Don Coffin, a professor at Indiana University Northwest in Gary.
The weak dollar and a lack of competition from foreign producers are contributing to the surge. For foreign steelmakers, the weak dollar makes their products more expensive in the U.S. They also continue to find ready buyers in India and China.
With no low-cost imports to worry about, U.S. steelmakers can get their price increases through despite the economic weakness in the auto and construction sectors that are key to their business.
"Suppliers are tight. The market is strong despite all the economic weakness," said Aditya Mittal, chief financial officer of ArcelorMittal, the world's largest steel company.
Earlier this year ArcelorMittal, which owns Indiana's Burns Harbor and Indiana Harbor plants, told automakers and other big customers that it plans to add a 25 percent price surcharge to existing contracts, according to industry sources.

ArcelorMittal declined to confirm the price hikes. But price surcharges by U.S. steelmakers are all the talk among major steel consumers. Truckmaker Oshkosh Corp. and appliance manufacturer Whirlpool are among companies that have dealt with price hikes introduced by their steel suppliers as surcharges to existing contracts.
"We've been approached by the steel guys, and we're in the middle of, let's just say, very deep negotiations regarding steel pricing," said Tim Manganello, chief executive of auto parts-maker BorgWarner Corp., in a recent conference call. "They're coming at us with surcharges."
ArcelorMittal, along with United States Steel Corp., dominates the northern Indiana steel industry, which amounts to about one-fifth of U.S. production.
Jaishankar Raman, economics professor at Valparaiso University, said it's not just the steel mills that are flush. Steel fabricators in northwest Indiana and throughout the Midwest are seeing a boom in demand that could translate into new jobs too.
One point of interest: When industrial giant Tata Motors of India bought Ford Motor Co.'s Land Rover and Jaguar divisions for $2.3 billion, Tata insisted that Ford continue supplying the automakers with metal stampings and other parts made in the U.S.
"The U.S. has established itself as the supplier of high-quality machinery and parts," said Raman. "That's important, because now we will see jobs growth."
So far, companies in the steel belt seem able to absorb the price hikes or pass them along to customers.

Dominic Vitucci Jr., chief executive of Vitco Inc., a family-owned maker of lawn and garden supplies, tubes and auto parts, said prices for steel have jumped 50 percent since the beginning of the year.
"There's just no relief" from the steel price hikes, Vitucci said. Raw material and fuel prices are going up too.
In the past, Vitco bought as much as 20 percent of its steel from foreign suppliers. Today, there is virtually no foreign steel to be found.
"Right now I am 100 percent domestic sourced," Vitucci said. "There are no foreign sources coming in."
Vitucci used to think the prices would begin sliding back by mid-year. Not anymore. Now he is raising prices each time his steel costs increase. "What are you going to do? You either have to stop making your product, or pass prices along," Vitucci said. "I'd like to stop gas prices from rising, too, but I just can't."

Sandra Westlund-Deenihan, president of Quality Float Works Inc., said her company has tried to adapt by eliminating inefficiencies in manufacturing of the spherical steel products used for everything from measuring the level of liquids to storing high-pressure gases.
"The cost of raw materials has affected our bottom line," she said.
Quality Float's most effective response: selling more aggressively overseas, where the weak dollar gives it a competitive advantage. Foreign sales will comprise 20 percent of its business this year, up from 3 percent in 2003.

The relatively flush times for Indiana's steel mills come as the industry is in the midst of bargaining with steelworkers. For the first time in memory the unions believe they have a relatively strong bargaining position, going up against an industry that is faring relatively well, thanks in large part to productivity gains made possible by union concessions over the years.
In 1980, 4.8 employees were needed to produce 1,000 tons of steel. Last year only 1.2 employees were needed to ship 1,000 tons, according to figures from the American Iron and Steel Institute.
"We helped make them successful with all the changes we've agreed to over the years," said Jim Robinson, director of District 7 of the United Steelworkers of America. "Now it's time for us to get to share in that success."

The Help Wanted signs will be up for a while, Robinson said. Beyond the increases in production, the industry also will have to adjust to a significant number of retirements over the next few years.
"There is a major generational turnover in progress, and it's going to speed up," Robinson said.

Monday, May 12, 2008

The future of steel, an image from the sixties

 

 

Sometimes students are good for a big surprise - as in this case. Having read one of my shorter posts (actually this one: www.hs-augsburg.de/~mstoll/?p=411 ) on a website about retro-futurism, Dennis Bille one day came around with a quite large set of folders and unpacked these wonderfull illustrations. Obviously they once were give-a-ways from "United States Steel International" to show, how the future might look like - from a early 60s perspective. Dennis Bille got these folders from a retired designer as a gift for helping to close down his office. what a symbolic story!

Published courtesy of Professor Michael Stoll

Thursday, May 08, 2008

EU launches new dumping probe into China Steel

The European Commission launched a new anti-dumping probe into imports of steel from China on Thursday, broadening the scope of what could become a fresh trade dispute with the Asian export powerhouse.

The European Union executive said in the bloc's Official Journal it was investigating imports of steel wire rod from China, as well as from Moldova and Turkey, after a complaint from European manufacturers that they were being unfairly hurt by the competition.

Wire rod is used by the construction industry.

Brussels has already launched probes into stainless steel and hot-dipped steel products from China and other countries.

European Trade Commissioner Peter Mandelson has expressed frustration at China's fast-growing trade surplus with the EU and says Beijing should follow world trade rules.

Chinese steel exports to the EU doubled in 2007 to about 10 million tonnes from record levels in 2006, according to estimates from the European steel sector.

China has denied its exports are being dumped, or sold below the price in a home market or below costs.

Some EU industries, such as its engineering firms which buy a lot of steel, are also opposed to the prospect of Chinese steel being hit with punitive EU import tariffs.

When steel in Europe is in short supply, and many manufacturing companies struggling for supplies. it's a bit bloody rich of the Steelmakers to be complaining of unfair competition. There is a much stronger case for looking at imports in manufactured metal goods. The steelmakers  are making record profits, their customers are struggling to survive.

Steel Prices Haven't Peaked Yet, A view from the US

Spotted the following article over at Kiplinger.com, by Jim Oscroft

How much higher will steel prices go this year? Quite a bit. The largest steel users can expect to pay as much as $1200 a ton for hot-rolled steel and $1300 for cold-rolled by July, about twice the cost in January. Small companies should figure prices will be about $200 higher than those, a typical premium for purchasers with less buying power.

The spike will wallop makers of cars, trucks and tools, as well as residential and commercial builders, with no relief likely before fall. And with the economy so weak, these companies can't hope to pass along much of the costs to consumers. Highway and municipal building construction firms could get badly singed because they typically sign fixed-price project contracts with state and local governments.

Some price pullback is expected next year. After summer's peak, hot-rolled prices will fall to $900 per ton by December due to the usual seasonal slackening in demand. But prices should get the stool kicked out from under them in 2009, once the dollar starts to post firm gains against most other currencies, as we expect, making imports more attractive.

"The first time steel mills ask for an increase and don't get it, prices will crack like Humpty Dumpty," says John Anton, steel service manager with Global Insight, an economic consulting firm. Next year, hot-rolled steel prices should average about $650 per ton and may well dip to $550 by December 2009, compared with about $825 in 2008.

Of course, a scenario that includes a stronger dollar and lower steel prices assumes China and India don't suddenly decide to ratchet up manufacturing and that labor problems don't shut down coal or iron mines in Australia.

Blame the devastated dollar for much of this year's pain in steel pricing. Brazilian and Australian suppliers of key steelmaking ingredients iron ore, iron pellets and coking coal have boosted prices more than 60% since January to offset the buck's decline. Further sharp price hikes are certain by midyear.

Domestic prices for scrap metal used in mini-mills that make about half of U.S. steel have soared 80% since January, due largely to anxiety-ridden consumers who are hanging on to old junkers that should be heading to auto scrap yards.

That's turned the tables on the steel market. With foreign steel mills now the world's high-price manufacturers, shipments to the U.S. have slumped this year, giving domestic steelmakers newfound pricing power. "Due to the slumping economy, U.S. steel demand is terrible with a capital T, but domestic mills' business is strong because companies aren't buying much imported steel," says Charles Bradford, president of Bradford Research, a steel consulting firm.

But the pricing power has come at a cost. "We're seeing a vicious circle where prices will remain high until steel inventories are worked down, cutting demand, but steel [buyers] aren't building large inventories because they don't want to get stuck with expensive steel should prices decline hard," keeping prices up, says Anton.

The result: A monkey wrench has been thrown into the steel pricing cycle. Since January 2008, steel prices have climbed precipitously, and the economy remains weak. Manufacturers and other steel users still have demand for steel, but expensive imports aren't much of an option. Steel users continue to buy steel, but they're keeping inventories low because they believe the dollar will strengthen and prices for key steelmaking inputs such as iron ore will fall sometime later this year.

Steel users don't want to get stuck with steel they bought for $1200 a ton if prices fall to half that amount. With steel inventory strategies turned upside down, steel users will have to keep paying up for the commodity until the dollar begins to recover.

From the UK Kaye Barrett, analyst at steel market business MEPS, said: "In the first half of this year prices will continue to go up. But the second half is uncertain because of the economic problems. It will soften, but whether it will collapse or there will be a gentle decrease we don't know."

Latest MEPS Carbon steel Prices forecast

All MEPS flat products forecasts have been revised upwards as a result of the staggering 200 percent price rise in coking coal contracts. Scrap figures also rocketed during April. Growing imports for most products will not be sufficient to relieve the tight supply situation in the market in the short term. Consequently, transaction values are expected to climb until the middle of the year. However, ordering is likely to be kept to a minimum as credit constraints restrict the volume of material customers are able to purchase. Buyers are also currently unwilling to speculate at such high prices. This could limit the size of the increases achieved by the mills over the coming months. The MEPS – Hot Rolled Coil transaction price is, therefore, predicted to reach $US975 per tonne by the end of the second quarter.

Lower levels of buying activity over the Summer holiday period are likely to bring price rises to a halt. The economic outlook for the second half of 2008 is uncertain, with the threat of a US led recession remaining high. This is predicted to lead to a drop in steel consumption. Fewer new projects, as a result of the credit crunch, are also expected to reduce order intake on the mills as the year progresses. Consequently, transaction values are forecast to fall in the fourth quarter. Due to strong demand from plate consuming sectors, prices for this product should decline less than for other categories. Most selling figures should recover by a small amount in the New Year as distributors look to re-fill depleted inventories.

Due to recent hikes in scrap costs, MEPS – average transaction values for all the long product categories are expected to increase further over the next few months. However, poor demand from both end-users and distributors, who are reluctant to build stock, should limit these rises somewhat. As such, prices should stabilise by the end of the second quarter. Transaction values are then predicted to be between $US237 and $US293 per tonne above the lows recorded in December 2007.

MEPS

Wednesday, May 07, 2008

New laser technology for detecting defects in steel

RESEARCHERS AT the Corus owned Teesside Technology Centre are working on a groundbreaking technology that could revolutionise quality testing in steel manufacturing.

The pioneering laser technique, known as Laser-EMATs (Electromagnetic Acoustic Transducers), tests for defects in steel early in the manufacturing process by firing laser pulses at the steel to turn a small area of the surface into plasma. This generates an ultrasonic wave, which can be reflected by defects, such as cracks.

The work has already earned project manager and Corus physicist, Iain Baillie, an award from the Cleveland Institution of Engineers and another through the University of Teesside.

The technology will go live in a pilot scale experiment on the Centre’s continuous casting plant later this year. If proven, it will be the first to test steel for both surface and internal defects at temperatures above 800°C, the typical heat in the continuous casting process.

By allowing steelmakers to detect faults early, it should reduce scrap and minimise problems in the expensive downstream processes.

“The results on the preliminary testing we have done so far have been very pleasing, but it's a challenging environment to work in and there's still much to be done to ensure the technology will do what we need it to do,” said Mr Baillie.

It could be up to two years before it is tested on a full-scale Corus steel making plant.

Scrap prices in US likely to erupt

According to calculations posted by the American Metal Market, the May delivered price for scrap steel from auto stamping plants increased USD 135 per gross ton, bringing the revised price to USD 690. As market prices for heavy melting, busheling and shredded grades of scrap generally follow auto bundle trend within two weeks, prices for scrap are about to erupt.
In analysing the revised run up of USD 290 from USD 400 in March, analyst Ms Michelle Applebaum in Chicago told clients that “The substantial hike was a result of the limited availability of prime scrap due to the American Axle & Manufacturing strike, weaker manufacturing output especially automakers and high prices for scrap alternatives such as pig iron and HBI which are ore based and are selling for similar prices on an iron unit equivalent’ basis.”
Ms Applebaum added that there’s also a chance that some mills may be pre buying scrap since industrial output typically declines for summer vacation shutdowns and reduced auto bundle scrap supply.
Ms Applebaum is very bullish that the auto bundle numbers will be indicative of increased future prices for US market scrap and finished steel prices.

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WCI Increases base prices by $75

WCI Steel Inc announced that effective immediately on new orders accepted, it will implement a minimum base price increase of USD 75 per ton. With this announcement, WCI Steel’s transaction base prices ex works are as follows:
1. HR Sheet (C<.30 max) – USD 1,125 per ton
2. CR Sheet (C<.30 max) – USD 1,225 per ton
3. Hot Dipped Galvanized USD 1,245 per ton
Appropriate extras are in addition to the above base prices.